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PRESS RELEASES

Current Economic Situation, February 2025

  • DivisionEconomic Policy Bureau - Economic Analysis Division
  • DateFebruary 14, 2025
  • Tel+82 44 215 2750

In December 2024, industrial and services production, and facilities and construction investments climbed up while retail sales dropped.

 

Production increased in the industrial (+4.6% m-o-m, +5.3% y-o-y), services (+1.7% m-o-m, +1.2% y-o-y), and construction (+1.3% m-o-m, -8.3% y-o-y) sectors, leading to growth in the entire industrial production (+2.3% m-o-m, +1.4% y-o-y)

 

Facilities investment (+9.9% m-o-m, +13.1% y-o-y) and construction investment went up (+1.3% m-o-m, -8.3% y-o-y) while retail sales went down (-0.6% m-o-m, -3.3% y-o-y).

 

Exports in January 2025 fell by 10.3% year-on-year, due to the reduced number of working days. Average daily exports surged by 7.7% in January compared to the same month of last year.

 

The consumer sentiment index (CSI) in January rose by 3.0 points month-on-month to 91.2. Although the composite business sentiment index (CBSI) moved down by 1.4 points to 85.9, the CBSI outlook for February moved up by 2.5 points to 85.4.

 

The cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index for December remained unchanged, while the cyclical indicator of the leading composite index decreased by 0.2 points.

 

In January, the number of employed persons has shifted to an upward trend, while consumer price growth rose at a faster pace.

 

The number of employed persons grew by 135,000 compared to the same month last year, and the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.7% from a year ago.

 

The year-on-year consumer price index (CPI) climbed to 2.2% while the CPI excluding the food and energy sectors grew by 1.9%.

 

In January, stock prices surged, Korean Treasury Bond yields fell and the Korean won strengthened.

 

In December, housing prices declined (-0.07%, m-o-m), while the growth in Jeonse[1] prices rose at a slower pace (+0.01%, m-o-m).

 

Recently, the Korean economy has faced delayed recovery in domestic demand, such as consumption and construction investment, along with sustained challenges in employment particularly in vulnerable sectors. Moreover, economic sentiment has weakened due to escalating domestic and external uncertainties, leading to heightened downward pressure on the economy.

 

Amid ongoing geopolitical risks, the global economy is facing increased uncertainties in trade, including the potential imposition of tariffs by major countries.

 

Based on the livelihood and economic response plan for the first quarter, all available means will be mobilized to swiftly prepare and implement improvement measures for each area including employment, public finance, and small businesses. Furthermore, the government will proactively respond to trade environment uncertainties, including supporting domestic companies that may be affected by the imposition of U.S. tariffs and establishing a fund for advanced strategic industries.



[1] lump-sum deposits with no monthly payments






Key Statistics



Employment


 

2023

2024

      2025

Annual

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Number of employed 
(million)

28.42

27.74

28.04

28.40

28.69

28.91

28.91

28.86

28.80

  28.84

28.85

28.82

28.04

27.88

Employment 

rate  (%)

62.6

61.0

61.6

62.4

63.0

63.5

63.5

63.3

63.2

   63.3

63.3

63.2

61.4

61.0

(Seasonally adjusted)

  62.6

 62.8

 63.0

62.8

62.9

62.6

62.6

62.6

62.7

   62.8

62.7

62.7

62.3

62.9




Consumer Price Index

                                                                                         (%)

 

2023

2024

 2025

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

y-o-y

 3.7

3.8

 3.3

  3.2

 2.8

3.1

3.1

2.9

2.7

2.4

2.6

2.0

1.6

1.3

1.5

1.9

2.2

m-o-m

 0.5

0.4

 -0.5

  0.0

0.4

0.5

0.1

0.0

0.1

-0.2

0.3

0.4

0.1

0.0

-0.3

0.4

0.7

 




Retail Sales

(Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

2022

2023

  2024

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3 Q4

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

 Q4¹

 

Nov¹

Dec¹

Retail sales

-0.3

-0.9

-0.7

0.8

-1.5

-1.5

0.6

-0.5

-1.9

0.4

-2.2

-0.5

-0.8

-0.6

-0.6

 0.0

-0.6

(y-o-y)

-

2.6

-0.2

-0.9

-2.3

-

-0.8

-0.7

-2.7

-1.9

-

-2.1

-2.9

-1.9

 -2.1

-2.2

-3.3

1. Preliminary





Facility Investment Index

(Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

2022

2023

                                   2024

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual

Q1

Q2

  Q3

Q4

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4¹


  Dec¹

Facility investment index

2.5

1.8

-2.2

9.8

-1.6

-4.9

-8.6

1.5

-1.9

5.0

4.1

-3.8

-0.2

10.3

0.1

9.9

(y-o-y)

-

-0.7

-3.6

5.6

9.1

-

-1.9

-1.3

-9.9

-6.0

-

0.3

-1.5

10.7

7.0

13.1

1. Preliminary

  



Construction Completed

 (Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

2022

2023

                                   2024

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

   Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

   Annual

  Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4¹


 Dec¹

Construction Completed

(Constant)

2.8

-1.5

1.5

1.5

4.3

7.3

2.8

1.1

1.1

-2.5

-4.9

4.9

-6.2

-5.0

-5.2

1.3

(y-o-y)

2.7

-1.7

2.0

3.6

6.7

-

11.5

8.7

10.1

0.6

-

4.1

-3.0

-9.6

-10.1

-8.3

1. Preliminary





Exports and Imports

 (US$ billion, y-o-y, %)

 

2023

2024

2025

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

       Q4

Annual

      Q1


Q2

      Q3

Q4

Jan

     Jan

Exports

632.23

151.22

155.78

157.10

168.12

683.69

163.34

54.73

171.51

173.66

175.18

49.12

(y-o-y, %)

-7.5

-12.8

-12.0

-9.7

5.7

8.1

8.0

18.1

10.1

10.5

4.2

-10.3

Average daily exports

2.34

2.24

2.33

2.29

2.49

2.53

2.44

2.28

2.58

2.54

2.56

2.46

Imports

642.59

174.04

159.25

150.72

158.56

632.10

155.10

54.47

156.97

160.02

159.93

51.00

(y-o-y, %)

-12.1

-2.2

-13.2

-21.6

-10.7

-1.6

-10.9

-7.7

-1.4

6.2

0.9

-6.4

Average daily imports

2.38

2.58

2.38

2.20

2.35

2.34

2.31

2.27

2.36

2.34

2.33

2.55





Industrial Production (Mining, Manufacturing, Electricity and Gas Production)

                (Percentage change from the previous period, %)



2022

2023

 2024

Annual

Annual

  Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual¹

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4¹

Nov¹

Dec¹

Total Production2

m-o-m,

q-o-q

-

-

0.4

2.6

1.3

2.2

-

-0.3

1.1

-1.0

2.3

-0.3

4.6

y-o-y

1.0

-2.6

-8.3

-6.1

-0.4

4.8

4.1

5.9

4.8

2.4

3.7

0.1

5.3

Manufacturing

Production

m-o-m,

q-o-q

-

-

0.3

3.0

1.3

2.2

-

-0.5

1.5

-1.3

2.6

-0.2

4.4

y-o-y

0.9

-2.6

-8.7

-6.2

-0.2

5.1

4.4

6.2

5.0

2.3

4.1

0.4

5.5

Shipments (m-o-m, q-o-q)

0.3

-0.5

0.1

2.6

-0.8

2.0

0.5

-3.0

1.5

-1.1

0.7

-0.2

8.2

Inventory3 (m-o-m, q-o-q)

4.1

-2.1

3.4

-0.8

2.4

-6.6

-2.0

1.0

-2.4

2.0

-2.1

-0.4

-3.6

Production capacity (y-o-y)

-0.5

0.1

-0.9

-0.8

0.0

2.1

0.9

1.6

1.1

0.4

0.8

0.8

0.7

Average operation ratio4

74.5

71.9

70.6

72.0

72.3

72.5

72.9

72.7

73.5

72.9

72.3

71.6

73.5

  1. Preliminary

  2. Mining, Manufacturing, Electricity and Gas Production

  3. End-point (month, quarter, and year)

  4. Average operation ratio for the month (or quarter)




  

Service Output

           (Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

2022

2023

                            2024

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3 Q4

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

 Annual

 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4¹

Nov¹

 Dec¹

Service output

7.0

0.6

3.3

1.6

0.3

3.1

1.0

0.0

1.0

0.3

1.4

 0.8

-0.3

  0.2

  0.4

-0.2

1.7

    1. Preliminary




Composite Indices of Coincident and Leading Indicators

                                                                                           (Points)

 

 2024

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep 

Oct¹

Nov¹

Dec¹

Cyclical indicator of coincident composite index

99.9

100.1

99.8

99.7

99.1

99.0

98.3

98.2

98.1

98.1

97.6

97.6

m-o-m (points)

0.1

0.2

-0.3

-0.1

-0.6

-0.1

-0.7

-0.1

-0.1

0.0

-0.5

0.0

Cyclical indicator of leading composite index

100.2

100.4

100.2

100.5

100.5

100.7

100.7

100.6

100.7

100.6

100.8

100.6

m-o-m (points)

0.0

0.2

-0.2

0.3

0.0

0.2

0.0

-0.1

0.1

-0.1

0.2

-0.2

1. Preliminary


 




Please refer to the attached files.


Ministry of Economy and Finance
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