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PRESS RELEASES

Current Economic Situation, November 2024

  • DivisionEconomic Policy Bureau - Economic Analysis Division
  • DateNovember 15, 2024
  • Tel+82 44 215 2750

In September, facility investment showed an increase, while construction production declined, and mining and manufacturing output adjusted after a sharp rebound in the previous month.

 

The entire industry production fell (-0.3% m-o-m, -1.1% y-o-y) as production climbed up in public administration (+2.6%, +1.3%), but decreased in mining and manufacturing (-0.2%, -1.3%), services (-0.7%, -0.2%), and construction (-0.1%, -12.1%).

 

Expenditure surged in facility investment (+8.4% m-o-m, +6.1% y-o-y), while retail sales (-0.4%, -2.2%) and construction investment (-0.1%, -12.1%) dropped. Average daily exports in October went up by 4.6% year-on-year, driven by growth in semiconductor and automobile exports.

 

The consumer sentiment index (CSI) in October improved by 1.7 points month-on-month to 101.7. The composite business sentiment index (CBSI) moved up by 0.9 points but the CBSI outlook for November fell by 2.8 points to 89.8.

 

The cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index for September went down by -0.1 points month-on-month, while the cyclical indicator of the leading composite index remained unchanged.

 

In October, job growth saw an increase and consumer price growth continued to decline.

 

The economy added 83 thousand jobs year-on-year and the unemployment rate rose by 0.2%p from a year ago to 2.3%.

 

The year-on-year consumer price index (CPI) growth slowed to 1.3% while the CPI excluding the food and energy sectors grew by 1.8%, with the index excluding the agricultural and petroleum sectors up by 1.7%. The CPI for basic necessities moved up by 1.2%.

 

In October, stock prices dropped while Korean Treasury Bond yields rose and the Korean won weakened.

 

In September, housing prices continued to rise (+0.17% m-o-m) and Jeonse[1] prices climbed (+0.19%), but the pace of growth declined.

 

With the Korean economy has recently been experiencing an expanding trend of price stability, the recovery momentum has been sustained. However, uncertainties still persist due to both domestic and global conditions.

 

While the global economic is broadly on a recovery path, uncertainties are increasing owing to persistent geopolitical risks in the Middle East and potential changes in the trade environment.

 

A comprehensive government response system will be mobilized across the financial, trade, and industrial sectors, and tailored support for vulnerable spots will be strengthened such as construction investment and small business owners, alongside implementing the Dynamic Economy Roadmap to enhance the sustainability of the Korean economy.



[1] lump-sum deposits with no monthly payments






Key Statistics



Employment


 

2022

2023

2024

Annual

Annual

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Number of employed 
(million)

28.09

28.42

28.76

28.70

28.09

27.74

28.04

28.40

28.69

28.91

28.91

28.86

28.80

  28.84

28.85

Employment 

rate  (%)

62.1

62.6

63.3

 63.1

 61.7

61.0

61.6

62.4

63.0

63.5

63.5

63.3

63.2

   63.3

63.3

(Seasonally adjusted)

 62.1

  62.6

62.7

 62.5

 62.4

 62.8

 63.0

62.8

62.9

62.6

62.6

62.6

62.7

   62.8

62.7




Consumer Price Index

                                                                                         (%)

 

2023

2024

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

y-o-y

2.7

2.4

 3.4

 3.7

3.8

 3.3

  3.2

 2.8

3.1

3.1

2.9

2.7

2.4

2.6

2.0

1.6

1.3

m-o-m

0.0

0.1

 0.9

 0.5

0.4

 -0.5

  0.0

0.4

0.5

0.1

0.0

0.1

-0.2

0.3

0.4

0.1

0.0

 




Retail Sales

(Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

2022

2023

  2024

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3 Q4

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3¹

Jul

  Aug¹

 Sep¹

Retail sales

-0.3

-0.9

-0.7

0.8

-1.5

-1.5

0.6

-0.5

-1.9

0.4

-0.5

-0.8

-0.5

-2.0

   1.7

  -0.4

(y-o-y)

-

2.6

-0.2

-0.9

-2.3

-

-0.8

-0.7

-2.7

-1.9

-2.1

-2.9

-1.9

-2.2

  -1.3

  -2.2

1. Preliminary





Facility Investment Index

(Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

2022

2023

                                   2024

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual

Q1

Q2

  Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Aug¹

Sep¹

Facility investment index

2.5

1.8

-2.2

9.8

-1.6

-4.9

-8.6

1.5

-1.9

5.0

-3.8

-0.2

10.1

-5.1

8.4

(y-o-y)

-

-0.7

-3.6

5.6

9.1

-

-1.9

-1.3

-9.9

-6.0

0.3

-1.5

10.5

7.5

6.1

1. Preliminary

  



Construction Completed

 (Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

2022

2023

                                   2024

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

   Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Aug¹

Sep¹

Construction Completed

(Constant)

2.8

-1.5

1.5

1.5

4.3

7.3

2.8

1.1

1.1

-2.5

4.9

-6.2

-4.2

-1.9

-0.1

(y-o-y)

2.7

-1.7

2.0

3.6

6.7

-

11.5

8.7

10.1

0.6

4.1

-3.0

-8.8

-9.2

-12.1

1. Preliminary





Exports and Imports

 (US$ billion, y-o-y, %)

 

2022

2023

2024

Annual

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

         Q4


Q1

Q2

    Q3


   Oct

       Oct

Aug

Sep

Exports

683.58

632.23

151.22

155.78

157.10

168.12

54.99

163.40

171.51

173.76

57.73

58.77

57.52

(y-o-y, %)

6.1

-7.5

-12.8

-12.0

-9.7

5.7

4.9

8.1

10.1

10.6

11.0

7.5

4.6

Average daily exports

2.51

2.34

2.24

2.33

2.29

2.49

2.62

2.44

2.58

2.54

2.46

2.94

2.61

Imports

731.37

642.59

174.04

159.25

150.72

158.56

53.44

154.86

156.96

160.44

54.07

52.12

54.35

(y-o-y, %)

18.9

-12.1

-2.2

-13.2

-21.6

-10.7

-9.7

-11.1

-1.4

6.2

6.0

2.2

1.7

Average daily imports

2.68

2.38

2.58

2.38

2.20

2.35

2.54

2.31

2.36

2.34

2.30

2.61

2.47





Industrial Production (Mining, Manufacturing, Electricity and Gas Production)

                (Percentage change from the previous period, %)



2022

2023

 2024

Annual

Annual

  Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3¹

Jun

Jul

Aug¹

Sep¹

Total Production2

m-o-m,

q-o-q

-

-

0.4

2.6

1.3

2.2

-0.3

1.1

-0.9

0.7

-4.0

4.4

-0.2

y-o-y

1.0

-2.6

-8.3

-6.1

-0.4

4.8

5.9

4.8

2.5

3.8

5.2

3.8

-1.3

Manufacturing

Production

m-o-m,

q-o-q

-

-

0.3

3.0

1.3

2.2

-0.5

1.5

-1.2

0.7

-4.2

4.4

-0.1

y-o-y

0.9

-2.6

-8.7

-6.2

-0.2

5.1

6.2

5.0

2.4

3.9

5.4

3.7

-1.4

Shipments (m-o-m, q-o-q)

0.3

-0.5

0.1

2.6

-0.8

2.0

-3.0

1.5

-1.0

2.6

-6.4

5.7

1.3

Inventory3 (m-o-m, q-o-q)

4.1

-2.1

3.4

-0.8

2.4

-6.6

1.0

-2.4

2.1

-2.9

2.8

1.3

-2.0

Production capacity (y-o-y)

-0.5

0.1

-0.9

-0.8

0.0

2.1

1.6

1.1

0.3

0.8

0.8

0.9

-0.8

Average operation ratio4

74.5

71.9

70.6

72.0

72.3

72.5

72.7

73.5

73.0

73.8

71.1

74.3

73.5

  1. Preliminary

  2. Mining, Manufacturing, Electricity and Gas Production

  3. End-point (month, quarter, and year)

  4. Average operation ratio for the month (or quarter)




  

Service Output

           (Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

2021

2022

2023

                            2024

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3 Q4

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

 Q1

Q2

Q3¹

Jul

Aug¹

Sep¹

Service output

5.0

1.2

2.5

0.1

2.7

7.0

0.6

3.3

1.6

0.3

3.1

1.0

0.0

1.0

0.3

 0.8

-0.3

  0.3

0.4

0.3

-0.7

    1. Preliminary




Composite Indices of Coincident and Leading Indicators

                                                                                           (Points)

 

2023

 2024

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul¹

Aug¹

Sep¹

Cyclical indicator of coincident composite index

99.9

99.8

99.9

100.1

99.8

99.7

99.1

99.0

98.3

98.3

98.2

m-o-m (points)

0.0

-0.1

0.1

0.2

-0.3

-0.1

-0.6

-0.1

-0.7

0.0

-0.1

Cyclical indicator of leading composite index

100.1

100.2

100.2

100.4

100.2

100.5

100.5

100.7

100.7

100.6

100.6

m-o-m (points)

0.3

0.1

0.0

0.2

-0.2

0.3

0.0

0.2

0.0

-0.1

0.0

1. Preliminary


 




Please refer to the attached files.


Ministry of Economy and Finance
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