Current Economic Situation, February 2025
In December 2024, industrial and services production, and facilities and construction investments climbed up while retail sales dropped.
Production increased in the industrial (+4.6% m-o-m, +5.3% y-o-y), services (+1.7% m-o-m, +1.2% y-o-y), and construction (+1.3% m-o-m, -8.3% y-o-y) sectors, leading to growth in the entire industrial production (+2.3% m-o-m, +1.4% y-o-y)
Facilities investment (+9.9% m-o-m, +13.1% y-o-y) and construction investment went up (+1.3% m-o-m, -8.3% y-o-y) while retail sales went down (-0.6% m-o-m, -3.3% y-o-y).
Exports in January 2025 fell by 10.3% year-on-year, due to the reduced number of working days. Average daily exports surged by 7.7% in January compared to the same month of last year.
The consumer sentiment index (CSI) in January rose by 3.0 points month-on-month to 91.2. Although the composite business sentiment index (CBSI) moved down by 1.4 points to 85.9, the CBSI outlook for February moved up by 2.5 points to 85.4.
The cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index for December remained unchanged, while the cyclical indicator of the leading composite index decreased by 0.2 points.
In January, the number of employed persons has shifted to an upward trend, while consumer price growth rose at a faster pace.
The number of employed persons grew by 135,000 compared to the same month last year, and the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.7% from a year ago.
The year-on-year consumer price index (CPI) climbed to 2.2% while the CPI excluding the food and energy sectors grew by 1.9%.
In January, stock prices surged, Korean Treasury Bond yields fell and the Korean won strengthened.
In December, housing prices declined (-0.07%, m-o-m), while the growth in Jeonse[1] prices rose at a slower pace (+0.01%, m-o-m).
Recently, the Korean economy has faced delayed recovery in domestic demand, such as consumption and construction investment, along with sustained challenges in employment particularly in vulnerable sectors. Moreover, economic sentiment has weakened due to escalating domestic and external uncertainties, leading to heightened downward pressure on the economy.
Amid ongoing geopolitical risks, the global economy is facing increased uncertainties in trade, including the potential imposition of tariffs by major countries.
Based on the livelihood and economic response plan for the first quarter, all available means will be mobilized to swiftly prepare and implement improvement measures for each area including employment, public finance, and small businesses. Furthermore, the government will proactively respond to trade environment uncertainties, including supporting domestic companies that may be affected by the imposition of U.S. tariffs and establishing a fund for advanced strategic industries.
[1] lump-sum deposits with no monthly payments
Key Statistics
Employment
2023
2024
2025
Annual
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Number of employed
(million)
28.42
27.74
28.04
28.40
28.69
28.91
28.91
28.86
28.80
28.84
28.85
28.82
28.04
27.88
Employment
rate (%)
62.6
61.0
61.6
62.4
63.0
63.5
63.5
63.3
63.2
63.3
63.3
63.2
61.4
61.0
(Seasonally adjusted)
62.6
62.8
63.0
62.8
62.9
62.6
62.6
62.6
62.7
62.8
62.7
62.7
62.3
62.9
Consumer Price Index
(%)
2023
2024
2025
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
y-o-y
3.7
3.8
3.3
3.2
2.8
3.1
3.1
2.9
2.7
2.4
2.6
2.0
1.6
1.3
1.5
1.9
2.2
m-o-m
0.5
0.4
-0.5
0.0
0.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.1
-0.2
0.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
-0.3
0.4
0.7
Retail Sales
(Percentage change from the previous period, %)
2022
2023
2024
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4¹
Nov¹
Dec¹
Retail sales
-0.3
-0.9
-0.7
0.8
-1.5
-1.5
0.6
-0.5
-1.9
0.4
-2.2
-0.5
-0.8
-0.6
-0.6
0.0
-0.6
(y-o-y)
-
2.6
-0.2
-0.9
-2.3
-
-0.8
-0.7
-2.7
-1.9
-
-2.1
-2.9
-1.9
-2.1
-2.2
-3.3
1. Preliminary
Facility Investment Index
(Percentage change from the previous period, %)
2022
2023
2024
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4¹
Dec¹
Facility investment index
2.5
1.8
-2.2
9.8
-1.6
-4.9
-8.6
1.5
-1.9
5.0
4.1
-3.8
-0.2
10.3
0.1
9.9
(y-o-y)
-
-0.7
-3.6
5.6
9.1
-
-1.9
-1.3
-9.9
-6.0
-
0.3
-1.5
10.7
7.0
13.1
1. Preliminary
Construction Completed
(Percentage change from the previous period, %)
2022
2023
2024
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4¹
Dec¹
Construction Completed
(Constant)
2.8
-1.5
1.5
1.5
4.3
7.3
2.8
1.1
1.1
-2.5
-4.9
4.9
-6.2
-5.0
-5.2
1.3
(y-o-y)
2.7
-1.7
2.0
3.6
6.7
-
11.5
8.7
10.1
0.6
-
4.1
-3.0
-9.6
-10.1
-8.3
1. Preliminary
Exports and Imports
(US$ billion, y-o-y, %)
2023
2024
2025
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Jan
Jan
Exports
632.23
151.22
155.78
157.10
168.12
683.69
163.34
54.73
171.51
173.66
175.18
49.12
(y-o-y, %)
-7.5
-12.8
-12.0
-9.7
5.7
8.1
8.0
18.1
10.1
10.5
4.2
-10.3
Average daily exports
2.34
2.24
2.33
2.29
2.49
2.53
2.44
2.28
2.58
2.54
2.56
2.46
Imports
642.59
174.04
159.25
150.72
158.56
632.10
155.10
54.47
156.97
160.02
159.93
51.00
(y-o-y, %)
-12.1
-2.2
-13.2
-21.6
-10.7
-1.6
-10.9
-7.7
-1.4
6.2
0.9
-6.4
Average daily imports
2.38
2.58
2.38
2.20
2.35
2.34
2.31
2.27
2.36
2.34
2.33
2.55
Industrial Production (Mining, Manufacturing, Electricity and Gas Production)
(Percentage change from the previous period, %)
2022
2023
2024
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual¹
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4¹
Nov¹
Dec¹
Total Production2
m-o-m,
q-o-q
-
-
0.4
2.6
1.3
2.2
-
-0.3
1.1
-1.0
2.3
-0.3
4.6
y-o-y
1.0
-2.6
-8.3
-6.1
-0.4
4.8
4.1
5.9
4.8
2.4
3.7
0.1
5.3
Manufacturing
Production
m-o-m,
q-o-q
-
-
0.3
3.0
1.3
2.2
-
-0.5
1.5
-1.3
2.6
-0.2
4.4
y-o-y
0.9
-2.6
-8.7
-6.2
-0.2
5.1
4.4
6.2
5.0
2.3
4.1
0.4
5.5
Shipments (m-o-m, q-o-q)
0.3
-0.5
0.1
2.6
-0.8
2.0
0.5
-3.0
1.5
-1.1
0.7
-0.2
8.2
Inventory3 (m-o-m, q-o-q)
4.1
-2.1
3.4
-0.8
2.4
-6.6
-2.0
1.0
-2.4
2.0
-2.1
-0.4
-3.6
Production capacity (y-o-y)
-0.5
0.1
-0.9
-0.8
0.0
2.1
0.9
1.6
1.1
0.4
0.8
0.8
0.7
Average operation ratio4
74.5
71.9
70.6
72.0
72.3
72.5
72.9
72.7
73.5
72.9
72.3
71.6
73.5
1. Preliminary
2. Mining, Manufacturing, Electricity and Gas Production
3. End-point (month, quarter, and year)
4. Average operation ratio for the month (or quarter)
Service Output
(Percentage change from the previous period, %)
2022
2023
2024
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4¹
Nov¹
Dec¹
Service output
7.0
0.6
3.3
1.6
0.3
3.1
1.0
0.0
1.0
0.3
1.4
0.8
-0.3
0.2
0.4
-0.2
1.7
1. Preliminary
Composite Indices of Coincident and Leading Indicators
(Points)
2024
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct¹
Nov¹
Dec¹
Cyclical indicator of coincident composite index
99.9
100.1
99.8
99.7
99.1
99.0
98.3
98.2
98.1
98.1
97.6
97.6
m-o-m (points)
0.1
0.2
-0.3
-0.1
-0.6
-0.1
-0.7
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.5
0.0
Cyclical indicator of leading composite index
100.2
100.4
100.2
100.5
100.5
100.7
100.7
100.6
100.7
100.6
100.8
100.6
m-o-m (points)
0.0
0.2
-0.2
0.3
0.0
0.2
0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.1
0.2
-0.2
1. Preliminary
Please refer to the attached files.